Even though the EU's coffee import in 2023 dropped by 9% in volume and 10.2% in value from 2022, Vietnamese coffee exports to this market decreased only slightly, by 1.4% in volume and 0.02% in value. Therefore, Vietnam's share in the EU’s total coffee imports increased from 14.85% in 2022 to 16.08% in 2023.
Currently, Vietnamese coffee prices have exceeded 100,000 VND (around 4 USD at current exchange) per kg - the highest price ever.
Nguyen Nam Hai, Chairman of the Vietnam Coffee and Cocoa Association, said that Vietnam is the largest Robusta coffee-producing country in the world. Roasters around the world still have high demand and are looking for suppliers from Vietnam.
In particular, Europe still has a high demand for coffee while Vietnam is almost the only one supplier, at least from now until the end of April 2024.
“From January to the end of April, if EU importers want to buy Robusta coffee, they can only rely on Vietnam because other coffee growing regions in the world have not entered harvest season," a representative from a coffee business told online newspaper Vietnamnet. Now, local enterprises are considering carefully the time to sign supply contracts because of limited supply and high prices.
According to export businesses, Vietnamese Robusta coffee has a relatively solid and irreplaceable position in the world market. Despite the supply shortage, Vietnamese coffee is still sought after by foreign roasters. This provides the basis and room for coffee export prices to continue to increase.
Trade associations and businesses predicted that because supply has decreased significantly, both farmers and businesses will run out of coffee stocks by the end of April.
The phenomenon has never happened in the past 30 years in the Vietnamese coffee industry.
According to the European Coffee Federation, the EU has the highest per capita coffee consumption in the world. Its coffee market is expected to reach 47.88 billion USD in 2024 and 58.14 billion USD in 2029, an average growth of 3.96% in the 2024-2029 period.
