World Cup qualifier:

UK newspaper predicts Vietnam’s winning ability twice as high as Indonesia

Data from the UK news site Sports Mole has predicted that Vietnam's ability to defeat Indonesia is at 50.11%, with their home-court advantage in the second leg of the second qualification round for the 2026 World Cup on March 26.
Pham Xuan Manh (in white) tackles defender Nathan Tjoe-A-On in the first-leg match at Gelora Bung Karno Stadium in Jakarta on March 21. (Photo: Lam Thoa/Vnexpress)
Pham Xuan Manh (in white) tackles defender Nathan Tjoe-A-On in the first-leg match at Gelora Bung Karno Stadium in Jakarta on March 21. (Photo: Lam Thoa/Vnexpress)

According to the site, the most likely score for Vietnam's victory is 1-0, with a probability of 11.34%. There are also predictions of a 2-1 win (9.49%) or a 2-0 victory (9.06%) for the host.

The most likely score is predicted at 1-1 (11.88%). Meanwhile, the score in favour of Indonesia records the highest probability of 0-1 (7.44%).

This is a UK-based news site specialising in the analysis of matches around the world, attracting about five million visitors each month, according to SimilarWeb.

It provides predictions for the scores of the matches based on the data set that they built through the performance of football teams and players’ abilities. Then, experts use computers to run simulations and calculate the probabilities of the scores.

The site noted that after summing up the data of possible scores, Vietnam has a chance of 50.11% for winning. Vietnam’s probability of drawing is 25%, and Indonesia's probability of winning is 24.9%.

The rematch between the two teams in Hanoi is scheduled to begin at 7 pm today. Vietnam has the home-court advantage at My Dinh Stadium, where the home team has never lost to Indonesia in the past 20 years.

NDO